Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.009022 0.010648 0.012610 0.015193 0.018566 0.022914 0.029102
2025-09-07 0.006769 0.008603 0.011070 0.014760 0.020383 0.029108 0.044817
2025-09-14 0.005502 0.007310 0.009910 0.014134 0.021304 0.034100 0.062186
2025-09-21 0.004801 0.006608 0.009349 0.014123 0.023032 0.041181 0.090197
2025-09-28 0.004415 0.006275 0.009243 0.014771 0.026129 0.052833 0.145648
2025-10-05 0.004219 0.006191 0.009499 0.016109 0.031194 0.073196 0.279397
2025-10-12 0.003943 0.005925 0.009383 0.016683 0.034856 0.093723 0.511568
2025-10-19 0.003608 0.005513 0.008925 0.016420 0.036321 0.109005 0.840337
2025-10-26 0.003372 0.005240 0.008681 0.016560 0.039002 0.133218 1.690915
2025-11-02 0.003122 0.004912 0.008280 0.016240 0.040197 0.153171 3.324605
2025-11-09 0.002839 0.004498 0.007653 0.015240 0.038792 0.157676 5.056232
2025-11-16 0.002613 0.004168 0.007159 0.014483 0.037963 0.165548 8.904896
2025-11-23 0.002484 0.004024 0.007065 0.014822 0.041663 0.217254 113.195387
2025-11-30 0.002304 0.003769 0.006708 0.014403 0.042388 0.251053 NaN
2025-12-07 0.002132 0.003512 0.006314 0.013798 0.042080 0.276722 NaN
2025-12-14 0.002022 0.003365 0.006144 0.013787 0.044440 0.348006 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001964 0.003317 0.006186 0.014414 0.050404 0.526306 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001948 0.003349 0.006417 0.015707 0.061439 1.030403 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001889 0.003289 0.006418 0.016261 0.069113 1.786016 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001795 0.003146 0.006200 0.016007 0.071295 2.453537 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001728 0.003053 0.006097 0.016142 0.076686 4.199155 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001646 0.002924 0.005886 0.015833 0.078417 6.139623 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001542 0.002740 0.005521 0.014867 0.073866 5.954840 NaN